Exiting after Brexit: public perceptions of future European Union member state departures
نویسندگان
چکیده
Public opinion scholarship suggests that Europeans broadly interpret Brexit as a cautionary fable rather than an encouraging blueprint to follow. Yet, singularly demonstrates the possibility of European disintegration, and is but one multiple recent crises have brought potential for member state departures into focus. Drawing on new survey data from 16 countries using logistic regressions, this article charts Europeans’ perceptions likelihood future EU exits over next decade. It finds evidence asymmetric motivated reasoning: Euroscepticism pro-Brexit views strongly associate with perceiving likely, while among Europhiles association only ameliorated, not reversed. This reveals two gaps repercussions understanding public dynamics. First, between Eurosceptic policy elites’ softened stances exit their supporters’ steadfast sense further remain likely. Second, Europhiles’ scepticism residual lack confidence in cohesion.
منابع مشابه
Framing the Future of European Integration after Brexit. An Empirical Analysis of Media Coverage in Germany
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: West European Politics
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['1743-9655', '0140-2382']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2022.2164135